Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lorient
Montpellier
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +31 | 59 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +17 | 46 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 |
Strasbourg
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +17 | 41 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 39 |
| 6 |
Nantes
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +5 | 38 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +21 | 37 |
| 8 |
Monaco
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 37 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lille
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +4 | 34 |
| 12 |
Brest
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 27 |
| 15 |
Clermont
|
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 |
Troyes
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 21 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 21 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 21 |
| 19 |
St Etienne
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 |
Bordeaux
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -25 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Laporte
D
L. Pétrot
D
H. Mendes
D
Q. Boisgard
M
A. Laurienté
M
S. Soumano
F
Coach: C. Pélissier
J. Omlin
G
N. Cozza
D
F. Mollet
M
T. Savanier
M
S. Sambia
M
J. Chotard
M
E. Wahi
F
Coach: O. Dall’Oglio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Monaco
Lorient
Lorient
Lens
Nantes
Lorient
Lille
Lorient
Lorient
Angers
J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.