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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Lorient
U T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Montpellier
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 17. · Montpellier 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 18 5 2 +31 59
2 Marseille 24 13 7 4 +17 46
3 Nice 25 14 4 7 +16 46
4 Strasbourg 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
6 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
7 Rennes 24 11 4 9 +21 37
8 Monaco 24 10 7 7 +11 37
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
11 Montpellier 24 10 4 10 +4 34
12 Brest 24 8 7 9 -3 31
13 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Reims 24 6 9 9 -1 27
15 Clermont 24 6 6 12 -17 24
16 Troyes 24 5 6 13 -15 21
17 Lorient 24 4 9 11 -18 21
18 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
19 St Etienne 24 5 6 13 -21 21
20 Bordeaux 24 4 8 12 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Montpellier
Julien Laporte 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
Bonke Innocent 🟨
47′
56′
T. Savanier 0–1
60′
🟨 Ambroise Oyongo
61′
🟨 Arnaud Souquet
Dango Ouattara 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
61′
T. Moffi 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
69′
73′
🔁 Thuler
↦ M. Sakho
E. Le Fée 🔁
↦ L. Abergel
85′
Igor Silva 🔁
↦ H. Mendes
85′
I. Koné 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
85′
86′
🔁 V. Germain
↦ E. Wahi
94′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ J. Ferri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lorient

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dreyer G
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
8 B. Innocent M
11 Q. Boisgard M
28 A. Laurienté M
22 S. Soumano F
Bench (9)
38 Dango Ouattara
13 T. Moffi
10 E. Le Fée
2 Igor Silva
9 I. Koné
3 M. Jenz
31 R. Bourlès
14 J. Hergault
30 P. Nardi

Coach: C. Pélissier

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
3 M. Sakho D
2 A. Souquet D
8 A. Oyongo D
31 N. Cozza D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
6 S. Sambia M
13 J. Chotard M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (8)
26 Thuler
9 V. Germain
18 L. Leroy
28 B. Makouana
16 D. Bertaud
34 S. Delaye
23 N. Gioacchini
20 Y. Guermouche

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,29
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.