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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

St Truiden

S T S S U

0–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 26/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

35%

45%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

70%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 9. · Charleroi 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	22	18	2	2	+41	56
2	Anderlecht	22	13	7	2	+35	46
3	Club Brugge	20	12	5	3	+15	41
4	Antwerp	21	12	4	5	+15	40
5	Kortrijk	25	10	10	5	+8	40
6	Cercle Brugge	26	11	4	11	+7	37
7	Charleroi	20	9	6	5	+9	33
8	Genk	19	9	4	6	+16	31
9	St Truiden	26	9	4	13	-9	31
10	Standard	24	8	7	9	-9	31
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	25	7	9	9	-4	30
12	Mechelen	21	9	2	10	-6	29
13	Gent	19	7	7	5	+7	28
14	Oostende	24	8	3	13	-20	27
15	Eupen	25	7	5	13	-11	26
16	Waregem	24	6	6	12	-20	24
17	Seraing	24	7	1	16	-24	22
18	Seraing United	24	7	1	16	-24	22
19	Beerschot VA	25	4	3	18	-26	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Club Brugge	11	7	4	0	+13	25
3	Antwerp	11	7	2	2	+11	23
4	Anderlecht	11	6	4	1	+14	22
5	Mechelen	11	7	1	3	+8	22
6	Kortrijk	11	5	4	2	+4	19
7	Genk	10	5	3	2	+12	18
8	Gent	9	5	3	1	+9	18
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Cercle Brugge	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	St Truiden	13	5	2	6	+0	17
12	Seraing	12	5	1	6	-6	16
13	Seraing United	12	5	1	6	-6	16
14	Oostende	12	4	1	7	-15	13
15	Charleroi	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Eupen	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Waregem	12	3	3	6	-10	12
18	Beerschot VA	13	4	0	9	-10	12
19	Standard	11	2	4	5	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	Anderlecht	11	7	3	1	+21	24
3	Charleroi	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Kortrijk	14	5	6	3	+4	21
5	Standard	13	6	3	4	-2	21
6	Cercle Brugge	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Antwerp	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Eupen	12	4	2	6	-2	14
10	Oostende	12	4	2	6	-5	14
11	St Truiden	13	4	2	7	-9	14
12	Genk	9	4	1	4	+4	13
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	2	6	4	-4	12
14	Waregem	12	3	3	6	-10	12
15	Gent	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Mechelen	10	2	1	7	-14	7
17	Seraing	12	2	0	10	-18	6
18	Seraing United	12	2	0	10	-18	6
19	Beerschot VA	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.