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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Rennes

T S T S T

4–1

Full-time

Troyes

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

46%

21%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 7. · Troyes 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	18	5	2	+31	59
2	Marseille	24	13	7	4	+17	46
3	Nice	25	14	4	7	+16	46
4	Strasbourg	24	12	5	7	+17	41
5	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
6	Nantes	25	11	5	9	+5	38
7	Rennes	24	11	4	9	+21	37
8	Monaco	24	10	7	7	+11	37
9	Lens	25	10	7	8	+4	37
10	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
11	Montpellier	24	10	4	10	+4	34
12	Brest	24	8	7	9	-3	31
13	Angers	25	7	8	10	-6	29
14	Reims	24	6	9	9	-1	27
15	Clermont	24	6	6	12	-17	24
16	Troyes	24	5	6	13	-15	21
17	Lorient	24	4	9	11	-18	21
18	Metz	25	4	9	12	-20	21
19	St Etienne	24	5	6	13	-21	21
20	Bordeaux	24	4	8	12	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
3	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
4	Rennes	12	8	1	3	+19	25
5	Monaco	13	7	4	2	+14	25
6	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+14	23
7	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
8	Montpellier	13	7	2	4	+8	23
9	Nice	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Angers	12	5	1	6	-1	16
15	Reims	11	4	3	4	+5	15
16	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	St Etienne	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
2	Nice	12	8	1	3	+13	25
3	Paris SG	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Strasbourg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
7	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
8	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
9	Brest	12	3	4	5	-6	13
10	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Rennes	12	3	3	6	+2	12
12	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Reims	13	2	6	5	-6	12
15	Montpellier	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	St Etienne	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	Clermont	12	3	2	7	-14	11
18	Troyes	12	3	1	8	-13	10
19	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-20	10
20	Lorient	13	0	5	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.