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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Espanol
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
29%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
54%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 14. · Sevilla 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 25 17 6 2 +31 57
2 Sevilla 24 14 8 2 +20 50
3 Betis 24 13 4 7 +16 43
4 Ath Madrid 25 12 6 7 +11 42
5 Villarreal 25 10 9 6 +18 39
6 Barcelona 23 10 9 4 +11 39
7 Sociedad 23 10 8 5 +3 38
8 Ath Bilbao 24 8 10 6 +4 34
9 Osasuna 25 8 8 9 -5 32
10 Celta 24 8 7 9 +3 31
11 Vallecano 24 9 4 11 -1 31
12 Valencia 24 7 9 8 -2 30
13 Elche 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Espanol 24 7 7 10 -5 28
15 Getafe 25 6 8 11 -4 26
16 Mallorca 23 6 8 9 -14 26
17 Granada 25 5 9 11 -13 24
18 Cadiz 25 3 11 11 -18 20
19 Alaves 25 5 5 15 -23 20
20 Levante 24 2 8 14 -26 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sevilla
26′
🔁 A. Gómez
↦ A. Martial
Raúl de Tomás 🟨
30′
36′
Rafa Mir 0–1
A. Gómez
44′
🟨 Ludwig Augustinsson
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Jesús Corona
1–1 Darder
Óscar Gil
50′
56′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ L. Augustinsson
56′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ Joan Jordán
69′
🟨 Jules Koundé
71′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ Rafa Mir
71′
🔁 Navas
↦ J. Corona
Aleix Vidal 🔁
↦ T. Vilhena
72′
Javi Puado 🟨
76′
76′
🟥 Jules Koundé
Keidi Bare 🟨
81′
Melendo 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
83′
85′
🟨 Lucas Ocampos
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
88′
Adri Embarba 🔁
↦ Javi Puado
88′
Aleix Vidal 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
4 L. Cabrera D
24 Sergi Gómez D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
12 Óscar Gil D
19 T. Vilhena M
10 Darder M
20 K. Bare M
25 Y. Herrera M
11 Raúl de Tomás F
9 Javi Puado M
Bench (12)
22 Aleix Vidal
14 Melendo
16 Loren Morón
23 Adri Embarba
1 Oier
34 Joan García
2 Miguelón
8 Fran Mérida
17 Dídac Vilá
5 Fernando Calero
18 L. Dimata
7 Wu Lei

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
3 L. Augustinsson D
20 Diego Carlos D
23 J. Koundé D
25 Fernando M
18 T. Delaney M
5 L. Ocampos F
8 Joan Jordán M
9 J. Corona D
22 A. Martial F
12 Rafa Mir F
Bench (12)
24 A. Gómez
21 Óliver Torres
10 I. Rakitić
15 Y. En-Nesyri
16 Navas
27 Luismi Cruz
30 José Ángel Carmona
42 Valentino Fattore
1 M. Dmitrović
6 N. Gudelj
41 Alberto Flores
11 M. El-Haddadi

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,52
U ✓
3,25
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.