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Referee: C Dierick

Gent

U T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 6/9 matches

Win Ø 20%

17%

22%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 73%

67%

78%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 18. · Cercle Brugge 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+12	17
2	Eupen	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Antwerp	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Kortrijk	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Standard	10	5	1	4	-4	16
6	Club Brugge	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Oostende	9	5	0	4	-3	15
8	Genk	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	St. Gilloise	6	4	1	1	+8	13
10	St Truiden	9	4	1	4	-2	13
11	Charleroi	7	2	4	1	+5	10
12	Mechelen	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Waregem	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Seraing	8	3	0	5	-5	9
15	Seraing United	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-2	8
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	5	3	-8	8
18	Gent	6	1	2	3	+2	5
19	Beerschot VA	9	0	1	8	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+11	10
2	Kortrijk	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Antwerp	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Club Brugge	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Mechelen	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Seraing	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Seraing United	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Gent	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Standard	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	St Truiden	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Waregem	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Beerschot VA	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eupen	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Standard	5	4	0	1	+0	12
3	St Truiden	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Oostende	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Waregem	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Genk	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+3	5
13	St. Gilloise	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Seraing	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Seraing United	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	3	2	-6	3
17	Gent	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Beerschot VA	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.