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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Arsenal

T T T S S

3–1

Full-time

Tottenham

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,4

0,6

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 14. · Tottenham 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	6	4	2	0	+11	14
2	Man City	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+10	13
4	Man United	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Everton	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Brighton	5	4	0	1	+3	12
7	West Ham	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Aston Villa	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Brentford	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	-3	9
11	Watford	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Leicester	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Wolves	6	2	0	4	-2	6
14	Arsenal	5	2	0	3	-7	6
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Southampton	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Newcastle	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Leeds	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Burnley	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Norwich	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+10	7
3	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Aston Villa	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Leicester	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Watford	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Wolves	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	West Ham	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Man United	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Wolves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Man City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Brentford	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Watford	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Leeds	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Newcastle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Crystal Palace	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.