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Ekstraklasa
Nieciecza
T T T U T
3–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nieciecza 18. · Gornik Zabrze 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 4 1 +7 16
3 Zaglebie 8 5 0 3 -1 15
4 Slask Wroclaw 8 3 5 0 +4 14
5 Rakow 7 4 2 1 +3 14
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 3 4 1 +4 13
7 Jagiellonia 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Wisla 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Stal Mielec 9 3 2 4 -5 11
10 Wisla Plock 8 3 1 4 +4 10
11 Radomiak Radom 8 2 4 2 +1 10
12 Piast Gliwice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
13 Gornik Zabrze 7 3 1 3 -1 10
14 Legia 7 3 0 4 +0 9
15 Cracovia 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Warta Poznan 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Leczna 9 1 2 6 -15 5
18 Nieciecza 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.