La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |
Valencia
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Mallorca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Cadiz
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Elche
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |
Getafe
|
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
R. Le Normand
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Mikel Merino
M
Zubeldía
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Beñat Turrientes
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Julen Lobete
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
J. Mojica
D
Fidel
M
Coach: Fran Escribá
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Sociedad
Sociedad
Sevilla
Cadiz
Sociedad
Sociedad
Levante
Sociedad
Vallecano
Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.