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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
St Mirren
T T U U U
3–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Aberdeen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Hearts 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Motherwell 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Hibernian 6 3 3 0 +6 12
5 Dundee United 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Celtic 6 3 0 3 +12 9
7 Aberdeen 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 ST Johnstone 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 St Mirren 6 0 4 2 -7 4
10 Livingston 7 1 1 5 -9 4
11 Ross County 7 0 3 4 -9 3
12 Dundee 7 0 3 4 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Aberdeen
1–0 C. Ronan
E. Erhahon
14′
18′
S. Brown 1–1
C. Ramírez
27′
🟨 Teddy Jenks
Marcus Fraser 🟨
33′
34′
C. Ramírez 1–2
C. Ramsay
Half-time 1–2
50′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
51′
🟨 Teddy Jenks
51′
🟥 Teddy Jenks
C. Main 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
56′
2–2 C. Ronan
J. McGrath
58′
3–2 C. Main
M. Fraser
61′
66′
🟨 Scott Brown
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ M. Millar
72′
72′
🔁 A. Samuels
↦ R. Hedges
72′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ C. Ramírez
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ M. Fraser
74′
K. Dennis 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
83′
92′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
92′
🟨 Calvin Ramsay
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-1-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
7 J. McGrath F
43 C. Ronan M
44 M. Millar M
16 E. Erhahon M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
10 C. Main
17 K. McAllister
8 R. Flynn
20 K. Dennis
23 L. Erwin
26 D. Lyness
2 R. Tait

Coach: J. Goodwin

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
27 D. Bates D
3 J. MacKenzie D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes M
11 R. Hedges M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
20 T. Jenks M
9 C. Ramírez F
Bench (7)
23 A. Samuels
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
5 D. Gallagher
44 M. Longstaff
25 G. Woods
24 D. Campbell
15 D. McGeouch

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
U
3,13
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.