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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
U S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Malaga
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

27 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sp Gijon 3. · Malaga 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +9 15
2 Ponferradina 7 5 0 2 +5 15
3 Sp Gijon 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Ibiza 7 2 5 0 +3 11
5 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Mirandes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Las Palmas 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Oviedo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Cartagena 6 3 0 3 -3 9
12 Leganes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Malaga 6 2 2 2 -3 8
14 Fuenlabrada 6 1 4 1 +1 7
15 Girona 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
17 Burgos 7 1 3 3 -1 6
18 Lugo 6 1 3 2 -2 6
19 Zaragoza 6 1 3 2 -2 6
20 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Amorebieta 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Alcorcon 6 1 0 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,26
B
4,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.