OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ham-Kam
Jerv
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | +27 | 42 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +18 | 41 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 39 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +17 | 35 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +8 | 32 |
| 6 |
KFUM Oslo
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 29 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 27 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 |
Sandnes ULF
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 |
Bryne
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 |
Start
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 |
Ull/Kisa
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 22 |
| 14 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 20 |
| 15 |
Strommen
|
20 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -17 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Kuruçay
K. Eriksen
M. Bjørlo
V. Skjærvik
T. Bair
Coach: K. Rekdal
Ø. Øvretveit
J. Norheim
Coach: A. Sandstø
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Strommen
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Bryne
Asane
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Start
Ranheim
Ham-Kam
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.