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LaLiga2
Valladolid
S S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 17. · Alcorcon 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +9 15
3 Ponferradina 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Ibiza 7 2 5 0 +3 11
5 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Oviedo 7 2 4 1 +2 10
9 Mirandes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Las Palmas 7 2 4 1 +0 10
11 Cartagena 6 3 0 3 -3 9
12 Leganes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Girona 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Fuenlabrada 6 1 4 1 +1 7
16 Lugo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
17 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
18 Zaragoza 7 1 4 2 -2 7
19 Burgos 7 1 3 3 -1 6
20 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Amorebieta 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Alcorcon 6 1 0 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,37
B
5,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.