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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Clermont

U U T U T

1–3

Full-time

Monaco

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

3,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Clermont 14. · Monaco 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+15	24
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+12	14
3	Marseille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Angers	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Lorient	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Lens	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Lille	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Nantes	8	3	1	4	+1	10
10	Reims	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Strasbourg	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Rennes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
13	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Clermont	7	2	3	2	-6	9
15	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-6	7
17	Troyes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Metz	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Brest	8	0	4	4	-7	4
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
3	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
12	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Metz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.