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Serie A

Referee: M Guida

Lazio

S S T U U

3–2

Full-time

Roma

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,8

3,4

Scored

2,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 8. · Roma 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Napoli	5	5	0	0	+12	15
3	Inter	6	4	2	0	+13	14
4	Roma	5	4	0	1	+7	12
5	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Empoli	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Bologna	6	2	2	2	-5	8
11	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Verona	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Venezia	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Cagliari	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Salernitana	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	Torino	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Roma	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.