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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

S S T T T

3–0

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 8

5 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 12. · Werder Bremen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	St Pauli	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+9	14
5	Nurnberg	7	3	4	0	+4	13
6	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+3	10
12	Dresden	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Hannover	7	3	1	3	-4	10
14	Holstein Kiel	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Hansa Rostock	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Sandhausen	7	1	1	5	-8	4
17	Ingolstadt	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Regensburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Nurnberg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Darmstadt	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Heidenheim	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Dresden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Hannover	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Hamburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Holstein Kiel	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Ingolstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Werder Bremen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Dresden	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Hansa Rostock	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Nurnberg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Sandhausen	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Ingolstadt	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.