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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Waregem
T S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
78%
61%
Both score Ø 68%
74%
61%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

4 Corners 4
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 13. · Cercle Brugge 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 16 12 1 3 +13 37
2 St Truiden 23 9 9 5 +8 36
3 Genk 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
5 Gent 15 10 2 3 +16 32
6 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
7 Club Brugge 16 9 3 4 +16 30
8 Anderlecht 16 9 3 4 +11 30
9 Kortrijk 23 7 7 9 -4 28
10 Eupen 23 9 1 13 -14 28
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Cercle Brugge 23 7 5 11 -16 26
13 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -11 23
14 Oostende 24 6 5 13 -20 23
15 Beveren 23 4 10 9 -7 22
16 Lokeren 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Cercle Brugge
13′
🟨 Xavier Mercier
1–0 Hamdi Harbaoui
14′
25′
Gianni Bruno 1–1
2–1 Nill De Pauw
40′
Half-time 2–1
50′
🟨 Yoann Etienne
60′
🔁 Guevin Tormin
↦ Kylian Hazard
60′
🔁 Irvin Cardona
↦ Serge Gakpé
65′
Irvin Cardona 2–2
70′
🟨 Lloyd Palun
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ Henrik Bjørdal
70′
Mikael Soisalo 🔁
↦ Nill De Pauw
71′
81′
🔁 Benjamin Delacourt
↦ Issa Marega
3–2 Idrissa Sylla
83′
Sandy Walsh 🔁
↦ Hamdi Harbaoui
89′
90′
🟨 Lloyd Palun
90′
🟥 Lloyd Palun
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
62 Ewoud Pletinckx D
3 Marvin Baudry D
23 Marco Burki D
21 Ibrahima Seck M
26 Stef Peeters M
11 Nill De Pauw F
20 Johan Bjørdal D
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
14 Sandy Walsh
8 Hicham Faik
17 Mikael Soisalo
7 Thomas Buffel
12 Chris Bedia
40 Idrissa Sylla

Cercle Brugge

3-4-2-1
1 Paul Nardi G
23 Issa Marega D
4 Jeremy Taravel D
15 Johanna Ochieng Omolo M
8 Lloyd Palun D
10 Xavier Mercier M
26 Kevin Appin M
17 Yoann Etienne D
9 Gianni Bruno F
13 Kylian Hazard F
6 Serge Gakpé M
Bench (7)
16 Miguel Van Damme
28 Benjamin Delacourt
5 Isaac Kone
11 Guevin Tormin
14 Irvin Cardona
12 Dylan de Belder
27 Adrien Bongiovanni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.