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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Gent
T U S S S
4–1
Full-time
Genk
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 53%
56%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
69%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

19 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 5
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 3. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 19 4 1 +43 61
2 Charleroi 25 14 8 3 +25 50
3 Gent 25 14 6 5 +22 48
4 Standard 27 14 6 7 +20 48
5 Antwerp 25 14 6 5 +20 48
6 Genk 26 13 5 8 +13 44
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 24 10 5 9 +1 35
9 St Truiden 27 9 6 12 -12 33
10 Anderlecht 24 6 11 7 +1 29
11 Mouscron 23 6 9 8 -3 27
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 6 9 8 -3 27
13 Eupen 26 7 6 13 -17 27
14 Kortrijk 25 6 4 15 -13 22
15 Waasland-Beveren 23 5 5 13 -24 20
16 Beveren 23 5 5 13 -24 20
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -24 19
18 Cercle Brugge 25 4 4 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
16′
T. Bongonda 0–1
23′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
1–1 M. Mohammadi
J. David
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ D. Wouters
2–1 R. Bezus
52′
62′
🔁 M. Dæhli
↦ K. Thorstvedt
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
66′
85′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ J. Uronen
S. Marreh 🔁
↦ J. David
86′
3–1 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
I. Plastun
88′
G. Kvilitaia 🔁
↦ S. Kums
91′
4–1 A. Niangbo
G. Kvilitaia
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
11 A. Niangbo
22 S. Marreh
13 G. Kvilitaia
21 N. Asare
10 G. Chakvetadze
23 M. Lustig
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: J. Thorup

Genk

4-5-1
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
4 D. Wouters D
25 S. Berge M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
17 P. Hrošovský
20 M. Dæhli
11 J. Paintsil
15 S. Odey
40 T. Leysen
2 C. De Norre
33 J. Lucumí

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,85
B
3,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.