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Pro League
Referee: Bert Put
1–3
Full-time
St Truiden
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 22/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3 Corners 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 11. · St Truiden 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 19 4 1 +43 61
2 Charleroi 25 14 8 3 +25 50
3 Gent 25 14 6 5 +22 48
4 Standard 27 14 6 7 +20 48
5 Antwerp 25 14 6 5 +20 48
6 Genk 26 13 5 8 +13 44
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 24 10 5 9 +1 35
9 St Truiden 26 8 6 12 -14 30
10 Anderlecht 24 6 11 7 +1 29
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 6 9 7 -1 27
12 Mouscron 23 6 9 8 -3 27
13 Eupen 25 6 6 13 -18 24
14 Kortrijk 25 6 4 15 -13 22
15 Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
16 Waasland-Beveren 23 5 5 13 -24 20
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -24 19
18 Cercle Brugge 25 4 4 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron St Truiden
27′
Y. Suzuki 0–1
F. Colidio
D. Mohamed 🔁
↦ N. De Medina
34′
42′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
45′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
Half-time 0–2
54′
J. Botaka 0–2
F. Colidio
B. Van Durmen 🔁
↦ Diogo Queirós
59′
Nemanja Antonov 🟨
63′
77′
🔁 S. Asamoah
↦ C. Durkin
80′
S. Asamoah 0–3
F. Colidio
R. Pietrzak 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
81′
84′
🔁 E. Acolatse
↦ Y. Suzuki
1–3 F. Boya
87′
89′
🔁 Alan Sousa
↦ F. Colidio
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
1 J. Butez G
3 N. Antonov D
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
13 A. Ciranni D
6 D. Hočko M
24 Aleix García M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (7)
11 D. Mohamed
30 B. Van Durmen
25 R. Pietrzak
10 M. Bakić
28 J. Huyghebaert
90 V. Vasić
27 A. Ippolito

Coach: B. Hollerbach

St Truiden

4-3-3
1 K. Steppe G
20 S. Mmaee D
3 R. Bushiri D
7 J. Botaka F
32 C. Durkin M
5 S. Colombatto M
8 I. Sankhon M
14 A. De Bruyn M
22 W. Janssens D
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
12 S. Asamoah
29 E. Acolatse
50 Alan Sousa
35 T. Herbots
23 T. Ito
27 M. Troonbeeckx
24 M. Konaté

Coach: M. Kostič

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bert Put · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.