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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

St Truiden

S U S T U

0–2

Full-time

Gent

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 29/19 matches

Win Ø 52%

41%

63%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

52%

84%

Both score Ø 76%

72%

79%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 1. · Gent 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	29	12	11	6	+13	47
2	Charleroi	29	12	6	11	+1	42
3	Genk	19	12	5	2	+22	41
4	Antwerp	19	13	1	5	+12	40
5	Kortrijk	29	11	7	11	+0	40
6	Standard	19	11	6	2	+18	39
7	Gent	19	12	2	5	+17	38
8	Club Brugge	19	11	4	4	+21	37
9	Anderlecht	19	11	4	4	+14	37
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	29	10	7	12	-1	37
11	Waregem	29	8	8	13	-11	32
12	Eupen	29	9	2	18	-24	29
13	Cercle Brugge	29	7	7	15	-22	28
14	Beveren	29	5	12	12	-12	27
15	Oostende	29	6	9	14	-21	27
16	Lokeren	29	4	5	20	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	14	8	5	1	+13	29
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	7	4	4	+7	25
3	Charleroi	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Anderlecht	10	6	4	0	+13	22
5	Gent	10	7	1	2	+11	22
6	Standard	9	6	3	0	+12	21
7	Cercle Brugge	15	6	3	6	-4	21
8	Genk	10	6	2	2	+9	20
9	Club Brugge	9	6	1	2	+13	19
10	Antwerp	10	6	1	3	+5	19
11	Waregem	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Kortrijk	14	5	3	6	-3	18
13	Eupen	15	6	0	9	-8	18
14	Beveren	15	3	7	5	-5	16
15	Oostende	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Lokeren	14	4	3	7	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+3	22
2	Genk	9	6	3	0	+13	21
3	Antwerp	9	7	0	2	+7	21
4	Club Brugge	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Standard	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	Charleroi	15	5	3	7	-4	18
8	Gent	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Anderlecht	9	5	0	4	+1	15
10	Waregem	15	3	4	8	-13	13
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-8	12
12	Beveren	14	2	5	7	-7	11
13	Oostende	15	2	5	8	-14	11
14	Eupen	14	3	2	9	-16	11
15	Cercle Brugge	14	1	4	9	-18	7
16	Lokeren	15	0	2	13	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.