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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Gent
S T U S S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 24/21 matches
Win Ø 42%
54%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 3. · Royal Excel Mouscron 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 4 1 +42 58
2 Charleroi 25 14 8 3 +25 50
3 Gent 24 13 6 5 +20 45
4 Standard 26 13 6 7 +19 45
5 Antwerp 24 13 6 5 +19 45
6 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 23 6 11 6 +2 29
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
11 Mouscron 22 6 9 7 -1 27
12 St Truiden 25 7 6 12 -16 27
13 Kortrijk 25 6 4 15 -13 22
14 Eupen 24 5 6 13 -19 21
15 Waasland-Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
16 Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
17 Oostende 25 5 4 16 -23 19
18 Cercle Brugge 24 4 4 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 L. Depoitre
G. Kvilitaia
9′
Elisha Owusu 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
51′
J. Osabutey 1–1
R. Pietrzak
55′
🟨 Jonah Osabutey
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
60′
2–1 J. David
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
74′
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ G. Kvilitaia
75′
77′
🔁 B. Van Durmen
↦ D. Mohamed
77′
🔁 N. Antonov
↦ F. Olinga
3–1 J. David
M. Mohammadi
77′
S. Marreh 🔁
↦ S. Kums
87′
89′
🟨 Stipe Perica
89′
🔁 A. Ippolito
↦ J. Osabutey
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-1-3-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
13 G. Kvilitaia F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
9 R. Bezus
10 G. Chakvetadze
22 S. Marreh
23 M. Lustig
21 N. Asare
26 C. Coosemans
18 D. Mbayo

Coach: J. Thorup

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
1 J. Butez G
25 R. Pietrzak D
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
13 A. Ciranni D
11 D. Mohamed M
24 Aleix García M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
18 S. Perica F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
30 B. Van Durmen
3 N. Antonov
27 A. Ippolito
34 N. Gillekens
28 J. Huyghebaert
23 Diogo Queirós
90 V. Vasić

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.