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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Santa Clara
T S T U T
3–3
Full-time
Boavista
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
34%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 7. · Boavista 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 29 22 7 0 +37 73
2 Porto 30 21 7 2 +34 70
3 Benfica 30 20 6 4 +37 66
4 Sp Braga 30 18 4 8 +19 58
5 Pacos Ferreira 30 14 6 10 +0 48
6 Guimaraes 30 12 5 13 -4 41
7 Santa Clara 29 10 6 13 +2 36
8 Moreirense 30 8 12 10 -9 36
9 Tondela 30 10 5 15 -17 35
10 Belenenses 30 7 13 10 -7 34
11 Portimonense 29 9 6 14 -4 33
12 Maritimo 30 10 3 17 -15 33
13 Gil Vicente 30 9 5 16 -11 32
14 Famalicao 30 7 10 13 -10 31
15 Rio Ave 29 6 12 11 -10 30
16 Boavista 29 6 10 13 -11 28
17 Farense 30 6 9 15 -10 27
18 Nacional 29 6 6 17 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Boavista
-5′
🟨 Nuno Santos
-5′
🟨 Nuno Santos
-5′
🟥 Nuno Santos
17′
A. Elis 0–1
Paulinho
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
34′
1–1 Lincoln
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Carlos
Lincoln
50′
54′
🟨 Jackson Porozo
Mansur 🟨
57′
63′
🔁 Show
↦ J. Porozo
69′
Marco Pereira 3–1
own goal
Rui Costa 🔁
↦ Cryzan
71′
Nené 🔁
↦ Anderson Carvalho
71′
75′
A. Elis 3–2
Paulinho
80′
🔁 C. Devenish
↦ S. Pérez
Ukra 🔁
↦ Lincoln
84′
Jean Patric 🔁
↦ Allano
84′
P. Sagna 🔁
↦ Mansur
84′
86′
🔁 K. Fidelis
↦ A. Gomes
Hidemasa Morita 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Léo Jardim
4–2 Fábio Cardoso
P. Sagna
94′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-3
99 Marco Pereira G
6 Mansur D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Rafael Ramos D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
10 Lincoln M
25 H. Morita M
13 Carlos F
7 Allano F
23 Cryzan F
Bench (9)
77 Rui Costa
21 Nené
17 Ukra
26 Jean Patric
95 P. Sagna
5 João Afonso
18 Rúben Oliveira
20 Costinha
1 André Ferreira

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Boavista

3-5-2
20 Léo Jardim G
3 A. Rami D
19 Ricardo Mangas M
5 C. Awaziem D
21 J. Porozo D
2 R. Cannon M
24 S. Pérez M
10 A. Gomes F
30 Paulinho M
17 A. Elis F
8 Gustavo M
Bench (9)
23 Show
42 C. Devenish
44 K. Fidelis
1 Rafael Bracali
11 Y. Njie
25 Y. Hamache
73 Tiago Morais
22 Nathan
7 Nuno Santos

Coach: Jesualdo Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,13
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.