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Primeira Liga

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Casa Pia

S U S T T

2–1

Full-time

Santa Clara

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 38%

35%

41%

Average goals

1,9

Scored

0,9

0,6

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 20

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Casa Pia 5. · Santa Clara 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	18	15	2	1	+33	47
2	Sp Braga	17	13	1	3	+26	40
3	Porto	17	12	3	2	+30	39
4	Sp Lisbon	17	10	2	5	+14	32
5	Casa Pia	17	8	3	6	+0	27
6	Arouca	17	7	5	5	-3	26
7	Guimaraes	17	7	3	7	-4	24
8	Chaves	17	5	7	5	-5	22
9	Vizela	17	6	3	8	+2	21
10	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Boavista	16	6	3	7	-9	21
12	Portimonense	17	6	2	9	-8	20
13	Estoril	16	5	4	7	-5	19
14	Gil Vicente	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	Famalicao	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	Santa Clara	17	3	5	9	-10	14
17	Maritimo	17	3	4	10	-20	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	18	1	3	14	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+23	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Guimaraes	9	5	2	2	+3	17
5	Sp Braga	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Arouca	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Boavista	9	4	3	2	-2	15
8	Famalicao	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
10	Casa Pia	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Vizela	8	3	1	4	+3	10
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Chaves	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-4	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	10	0	2	8	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Casa Pia	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	Chaves	9	4	2	3	-4	14
6	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Estoril	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Arouca	8	2	4	2	-6	10
10	Portimonense	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Gil Vicente	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Guimaraes	8	2	1	5	-7	7
14	Boavista	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
16	Famalicao	9	1	2	6	-9	5
17	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.