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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Vizela

S T U U T

0–1

Full-time

Estoril

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

22 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

16 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vizela 13. · Estoril 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+16	16
3	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
4	Portimonense	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Boavista	6	4	0	2	-1	12
6	Casa Pia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Guimaraes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Chaves	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Estoril	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Arouca	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Rio Ave	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Famalicao	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	0	6	-10	0
18	Maritimo	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Chaves	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Rio Ave	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.