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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
NAC Breda
T S U T T
3–1
Full-time
Utrecht
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 17/14 matches
Win Ø 34%
18%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
2 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match NAC Breda 16. · Utrecht 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 14 1 2 +27 43
2 Ajax 17 12 2 3 +35 38
3 AZ Alkmaar 17 11 2 4 +13 35
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 16 8 5 3 +17 29
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 14 7 3 4 -1 24
8 Heerenveen 16 6 5 5 -1 23
9 Heracles 17 6 4 7 -9 22
10 Vitesse 14 5 5 4 +7 20
11 Excelsior 17 6 2 9 -6 20
12 VVV Venlo 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Groningen 17 4 5 8 -4 17
14 Willem II 17 4 4 9 -11 16
15 Twente 17 4 2 11 -9 14
16 NAC Breda 17 3 4 10 -17 13
17 Roda 17 3 2 12 -19 11
18 Sparta Rotterdam 16 2 5 9 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -17 Utrecht – NAC Breda 2–2

Match report

NAC Breda Utrecht
1–0 Pablo Marí ⚽
Angeliño
26′
40′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ Y. Ayoub
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Rico Strieder
59′
🔁 G. Troupée
↦ M. van der Maarel
Bart Meijers 🟨
65′
2–0 T. Ambrose ⚽
R. Vloet
71′
75′
⚽ C. Dessers 2–1
G. Kerk
78′
🟨 Cyriel Dessers
Mark Birighitti 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 N. Venema
↦ S. Klaiber
T. Enevoldsen 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
83′
90′
🟨 Rico Strieder
90′
🟥 Rico Strieder
J. Horsfield 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
94′
3–1 Angeliño ⚽
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
12 M. Birighitti G
22 Pablo Marí D
2 F. Sporkslede D
69 Angeliño D
18 B. Meijers D
30 G. Nijholt M
10 R. Vloet M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
7 G. Korte F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
87 T. Enevoldsen
35 J. Horsfield
1 A. Noppert
11 Paolo Fernandes
26 K. Niemczycki
28 D. Snepvangers
32 B. Vliet
33 M. Reuvers
45 R. Sprangers

Coach: S. Vreven

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
18 U. Emanuelson M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
11 C. Dessers
20 G. Troupée
39 N. Venema
5 D. Dumić
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
26 M. Willock
27 L. Görtler
30 C. David

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.