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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
1–3
Full-time
Zwolle
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
19%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
62%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · Zwolle 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 27 22 3 2 +51 69
2 Ajax 26 19 5 2 +39 62
3 PSV Eindhoven 27 18 7 2 +34 61
4 Twente 27 11 8 8 +3 41
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +8 40
6 Vitesse 27 11 6 10 +8 39
7 Heerenveen 25 10 6 9 +10 36
8 AZ Alkmaar 24 8 11 5 +4 35
9 Willem II 27 8 9 10 -5 33
10 Heracles 27 8 7 12 -9 31
11 Sparta Rotterdam 27 7 7 13 -13 28
12 Nijmegen 27 7 7 13 -19 28
13 Zwolle 26 7 6 13 -22 27
14 Groningen 26 5 11 10 -6 26
15 Excelsior 26 5 8 13 -18 23
16 Roda 27 4 11 12 -22 23
17 Den Haag 26 6 4 16 -23 22
18 Go Ahead Eagles 26 5 5 16 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
1–0 Chirivella
E. Manu
3′
5′
Q. Menig 1–1
N. Brock-Madsen
17′
🟨 Youness Mokhtar
Half-time 1–1
D. Maatsen 🔁
↦ J. Antonia
46′
61′
🟨 Dirk Marcellis
Sander Fischer 🟨
67′
79′
🟨 Queensy Menig
L. de Kogel 🔁
↦ E. Manu
79′
82′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ Q. Menig
83′
D. Warmerdam 1–2
M. Saymak
L. Marengo 🔁
↦ J. Groenbast
85′
88′
B. van Polen 1–3
90′
🔁 P. Sandler
↦ D. Marcellis
92′
🔁 A. Achahbar
↦ M. Saymak
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
17 S. Locigno D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (8)
14 D. Maatsen
9 L. de Kogel
11 L. Marengo
5 L. Rexhepi
8 J. Suk
13 E. Cummins
23 N. Nieveld
35 R. Achenteh

Coach: H. de Koning

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
21 D. Warmerdam D
23 D. Holla M
15 O. Bouy D
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (10)
20 K. Ehizibue
9 A. Achahbar
13 P. Sandler
3 T. van de Pavert
5 C. Verdonk
14 E. Israelsson
16 K. Begois
22 B. Schenkeveld
40 M. Hauptmeijer
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.