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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Heerenveen

T T S T T

1–2

Full-time

Vitesse

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

6 Shots 26

1 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 11

3 Offside 2

3 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Vitesse 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+35	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+12	19
5	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	-7	16
7	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Nijmegen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
9	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Cambuur	10	4	0	6	-7	12
12	Heracles	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	+2	9
16	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
9	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
4	Feyenoord	5	3	0	2	+6	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
12	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.