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Conference League
Referee: A Papapetrou
AZ Alkmaar
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Dnipro-1
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Dnipro-1
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 11/5 matches
Win Ø 71%
82%
60%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
64%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Dnipro-1 – AZ Alkmaar 0–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Dnipro-1
1–0 J. Odgaard ⚽
J. Karlsson
8′
40′
⚽ A. Dovbyk 1–1
Y. Hamache
Half-time 1–1
V. Pavlidis 🔁
↦ M. Dekker
46′
57′
🟨 Busanello
M. van Brederode 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
65′
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
65′
Dani de Wit 🟨
69′
86′
🔁 I. Kogut
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
2–1 V. Pavlidis ⚽
Y. Sugawara
87′
89′
🔁 M. Kononov
↦ O. Nazarenko
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
90′
P. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ T. Reijnders
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-4-2
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
22 M. Dekker D
5 M. Kerkez D
2 Y. Sugawara M
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
11 J. Karlsson M
10 D. de Wit F
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (10)
9 V. Pavlidis
19 M. van Brederode
23 M. Lahdo
25 R. Bazoer
14 P. Koopmeiners
1 P. Vindahl
13 S. Westerveld
28 Z. Buurmeester
17 Y. Barası
34 M. de Wit

Coach: P. Jansen

Dnipro-1

4-2-3-1
93 Max Walef G
3 V. Adamyuk D
39 O. Svatok D
5 E. Sarapyi D
6 Busanello D
22 V. Rubchynskyi M
18 R. Babenko M
29 O. Nazarenko M
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
13 Y. Hamache M
7 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (6)
25 I. Kogut
2 M. Kononov
1 V. Rybak
15 S. Loginov
12 Y. Kinareykin
33 V. Yurchuk

Coach: O. Kucher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.