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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 66%
75%
56%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
61%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · AZ Alkmaar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +56 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 15 1 4 +22 46
3 Feyenoord 20 13 3 4 +27 42
4 Twente 20 11 5 4 +9 38
5 Utrecht 20 10 5 5 +12 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 2 6 +11 32
7 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
8 Cambuur 21 9 3 9 -8 30
9 Nijmegen 20 7 5 8 -5 26
10 Heerenveen 20 7 4 9 -8 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Waalwijk 20 5 7 8 -8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Heracles 20 5 5 10 -5 20
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 For Sittard 21 4 4 13 -27 16
17 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 8 10 -15 14
18 Zwolle 20 3 3 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
1–0 A. Obispo
C. Gakpo
19′
40′
B. Martins Indi 1–1
O. Wijndal
Half-time 1–1
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ R. Dōan
61′
E. Zahavi 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
61′
67′
🔁 Z. Aboukhlal
↦ V. Pavlidis
70′
🟨 Fredrik Midtsjø
Ibrahim Sangaré 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Pantelis Chatzidiakos
72′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
Jordan Teze 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 S. Beukema
↦ B. Martins Indi
75′
J. Karlsson 1–2
83′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ J. Clasie
Bruma 🔁
↦ P. Mwene
89′
90′
🟨 Yukinari Sugawara
Mario Götze 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-1-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
29 P. Mwene D
18 O. Boscagli M
4 A. Obispo D
3 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
25 R. Dōan F
11 C. Gakpo F
Bench (9)
32 Y. Vertessen
7 E. Zahavi
19 Bruma
21 M. Delanghe
54 J. Bakayoko
15 É. Gutiérrez
16 J. Drommel
58 J. Seelt
31 P. Max

Coach: R. Schmidt

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 P. Vindahl G
4 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
2 Y. Sugawara D
20 J. Clasie M
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
18 H. Evjen M
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson M
Bench (8)
7 Z. Aboukhlal
31 S. Beukema
24 T. Reijnders
16 B. Reus
12 H. Verhulst
26 M. Kerkez
14 P. Koopmeiners
23 M. Taabouni

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U
4,13
B ✓
5,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.