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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Arsenal
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
2,3
3,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,2
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
2,0
3,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
25 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 0–0
Granit Xhaka 🟨
46′
56′
🟨 Érick Gutiérrez
65′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ G. Til
66′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ P. Max
T. Partey 🔁
↦ A. Lokonga
67′
M. Ødegaard 🔁
↦ Fábio Vieira
67′
1–0 G. Xhaka ⚽
T. Tomiyasu
70′
Gabriel Martinelli 🔁
↦ Gabriel Jesus
76′
B. White 🔁
↦ T. Tomiyasu
76′
77′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ J. Veerman
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ B. Saka
85′
Kieran Tierney 🟨
88′
Martin Ødegaard 🟨
88′
91′
🔁 R. Ledezma
↦ X. Simons
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
30 M. Turner G
18 T. Tomiyasu D
16 R. Holding D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
3 K. Tierney D
23 A. Lokonga M
34 G. Xhaka M
7 B. Saka M
21 Fábio Vieira M
14 E. Nketiah M
9 Gabriel Jesus F
Bench (12)
5 T. Partey
8 M. Ødegaard
11 Gabriel Martinelli
4 B. White
24 R. Nelson
44 C. Cîrjan
47 K. Edwards
12 W. Saliba
31 K. Hein
17 Cédric Soares
1 A. Ramsdale
27 Marquinhos

Coach: Mikel Arteta

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
4 A. Obispo D
31 P. Max D
6 I. Sangaré M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
7 X. Simons M
23 J. Veerman M
11 C. Gakpo M
20 G. Til F
Bench (12)
10 N. Madueke
3 J. Teze
9 L. de Jong
37 R. Ledezma
24 B. Waterman
27 J. Bakayoko
16 J. Drommel
21 A. El Ghazi
2 K. Hoever
33 Sávio
17 Mauro Júnior
22 J. Branthwaite

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.