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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Utrecht

U U T S T

3–0

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 6/8 matches

Win Ø 21%

17%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 54%

83%

25%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 16. · Go Ahead Eagles 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	2	1	+11	17
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Twente	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
10	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-8	6
16	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Roda	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Twente	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
15	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Roda	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Twente	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.