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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Heracles
T T S U U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
42%
37%
Both score Ø 45%
53%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · Go Ahead Eagles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 15 1 3 +23 46
2 Ajax 19 14 3 2 +55 45
3 Feyenoord 20 13 3 4 +27 42
4 Twente 20 11 5 4 +9 38
5 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 2 6 +11 32
6 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
7 Cambuur 20 9 3 8 -7 30
8 Utrecht 18 8 5 5 +8 29
9 Nijmegen 20 7 5 8 -5 26
10 Heerenveen 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 3 10 -12 21
13 Heracles 19 5 4 10 -5 19
14 Waalwijk 19 4 7 8 -9 19
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 8 9 -12 14
17 For Sittard 19 3 4 12 -28 13
18 Zwolle 20 3 3 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 K. Sierhuis
32′
Half-time 1–0
D. Burgzorg 🔁
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
46′
65′
🔁 O. Heil
↦ B. Lucassen
66′
🔁 B. Kuipers
↦ C. Martina
Navajo Bakboord 🟨
71′
73′
I. Lidberg 1–1
76′
🟨 Luuk Brouwers
N. Fadiga 🔁
↦ N. Bakboord
81′
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ L. Schoofs
81′
E. Sierra 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
87′
Noah Fadiga 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
19 N. Bakboord D
5 M. Rente D
3 G. Quagliata D
15 L. Schoofs M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
7 B. Başacıkoğlu M
11 N. Laursen M
16 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (11)
37 D. Burgzorg
23 N. Fadiga
9 S. Bakış
8 E. Sierra
17 A. Szőke
4 S. Sonnenberg
22 M. Leš
12 R. Roosken
34 A. Damen
30 M. Amissi
26 K. Bucker

Coach: F. Wormuth

Go Ahead Eagles

3-4-3
23 A. Noppert G
15 C. Martina D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl M
2 B. Lucassen M
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen F
Bench (10)
19 O. Heil
5 B. Kuipers
16 N. Verdoni
26 J. Bakker
27 J. Mulenga
22 Q. Dumay
28 A. Aventisian
31 J. Schuurman
14 T. Tuzlacik
17 F. Ross

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
3,56
B
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.