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Eredivisie

Referee: R Martens

Go Ahead Eagles

T S T T U

4–2

Full-time

Heracles

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

38%

43%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

57%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 13. · Heracles 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+28	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Utrecht	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+2	16
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Heerenveen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	-7	13
9	Cambuur	8	4	0	4	-5	12
10	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-5	11
11	Heracles	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-3	7
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	0	4	+0	6
15	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Cambuur	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
8	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	+5	6
10	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
13	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.