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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
M'gladbach
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
31 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 11. · Stuttgart 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 8 6 0 2 +8 18
2 Bayern Munich 7 5 1 1 +17 16
3 Leverkusen 7 5 1 1 +13 16
4 Freiburg 8 4 4 0 +6 16
5 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 Wolfsburg 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 FC Koln 8 3 3 2 -1 12
8 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +8 11
9 Hoffenheim 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Mainz 8 3 1 4 +0 10
11 M'gladbach 7 3 1 3 -1 10
12 Hertha 8 3 0 5 -11 9
13 Stuttgart 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Ein Frankfurt 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Bochum 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -10 5
17 Bielefeld 7 0 4 3 -7 4
18 Greuther Furth 8 0 1 7 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Stuttgart
15′
K. Mavropanos 0–1
Omar Marmoush
1–1 J. Hofmann
42′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
Kouadio Koné 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Chris Führich
A. Pléa 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
66′
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ L. Netz
66′
74′
🔁 W. Faghir
↦ Omar Marmoush
74′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ T. Coulibaly
Patrick Herrmann 🟨
80′
K. Bennetts 🔁
↦ J. Scally
81′
Keanan Bennetts 🟨
82′
F. Neuhaus 🔁
↦ K. Koné
86′
87′
🟨 Marc-Oliver Kempf
89′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ A. Karazor
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
1 Y. Sommer G
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
15 L. Beyer D
29 J. Scally M
20 L. Netz M
13 L. Stindl F
23 J. Hofmann F
8 D. Zakaria M
17 K. Koné M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
14 A. Pléa
7 P. Herrmann
37 K. Bennetts
32 F. Neuhaus
24 T. Jantschke
22 L. Bénes
11 H. Wolf
21 T. Sippel
26 T. Müsel

Coach: A. Hütter

Stuttgart

3-1-4-2
33 F. Bredlow G
4 M. Kempf D
16 A. Karazor M
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
22 C. Führich F
28 N. Nartey M
7 T. Coulibaly M
17 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
19 W. Faghir
20 P. Förster
10 D. Didavi
31 M. Klimowicz
6 C. Mola
15 P. Stenzel
42 F. Schock
18 H. Al Ghaddioui
32 N. Ahamada

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U ✓
4,65
B
5,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.