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Allsvenskan

Sirius

S S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Varberg

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

59%

64%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 10. · Varberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	23	13	5	5	+23	44
2	Djurgarden	22	13	5	4	+19	44
3	AIK	22	13	5	4	+14	44
4	Norrkoping	22	12	3	7	+14	39
5	Elfsborg	22	12	3	7	+10	39
6	Kalmar	22	10	7	5	+5	37
7	Hammarby	22	9	7	6	+6	34
8	Hacken	22	7	7	8	+1	28
9	Varberg	22	7	7	8	-2	28
10	Sirius	22	7	6	9	-12	27
11	Degerfors	23	7	4	12	-15	25
12	Mjallby	22	5	9	8	-1	24
13	Halmstad	23	4	11	8	-5	23
14	Goteborg	22	5	7	10	-8	22
15	Orebro	22	4	4	14	-28	16
16	Ostersunds	23	3	4	16	-21	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	12	10	2	0	+15	32
2	Djurgarden	11	8	2	1	+14	26
3	Malmo FF	12	7	3	2	+14	24
4	Hammarby	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Norrkoping	11	7	2	2	+11	23
6	Elfsborg	12	7	2	3	+8	23
7	Degerfors	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Kalmar	12	5	4	3	+3	19
9	Sirius	10	5	1	4	+0	16
10	Varberg	11	4	4	3	-1	16
11	Hacken	10	4	3	3	+6	15
12	Halmstad	11	2	8	1	+1	14
13	Mjallby	10	3	4	3	+2	13
14	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-1	12
15	Ostersunds	12	3	1	8	-2	10
16	Orebro	11	2	4	5	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	6	2	3	+9	20
2	Djurgarden	11	5	3	3	+5	18
3	Kalmar	10	5	3	2	+2	18
4	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	+3	16
5	Elfsborg	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Hacken	12	3	4	5	-5	13
7	Varberg	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	AIK	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Mjallby	12	2	5	5	-3	11
10	Sirius	12	2	5	5	-12	11
11	Hammarby	11	2	4	5	-5	10
12	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
13	Halmstad	12	2	3	7	-6	9
14	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-18	6
15	Orebro	11	2	0	9	-21	6
16	Ostersunds	11	0	3	8	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.