OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Ull/Kisa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | +31 | 49 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +18 | 43 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 41 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +14 | 36 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 6 |
KFUM Oslo
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 33 |
| 7 |
Ranheim
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +2 | 30 |
| 8 |
Raufoss
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +2 | 28 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 |
Start
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Sandnes ULF
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Ull/Kisa
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 |
Grorud
|
22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 21 |
| 16 |
Strommen
|
22 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -11 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Asane
Asane
Sogndal
Ranheim
Asane
Asane
Aalesund
Jerv
Asane
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.