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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Molde
T S U U S
3–0
Full-time
Tromso
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
57%
24%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
62%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 2. · Tromso 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 21 13 5 3 +25 44
2 Molde 21 12 5 4 +25 41
3 Kristiansund 21 12 2 7 +4 38
4 Rosenborg 21 11 4 6 +16 37
5 Viking 21 10 5 6 +1 35
6 Lillestrom 21 10 4 7 +5 34
7 Valerenga 21 7 9 5 +6 30
8 Stromsgodset 21 8 5 8 +1 29
9 Haugesund 21 8 4 9 -2 28
10 Odd 21 7 5 9 -9 26
11 Sandefjord 21 7 4 10 -10 25
12 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 5 10 -11 23
13 Tromso 21 5 7 9 -10 22
14 Brann 21 4 6 11 -14 18
15 Stabaek 21 4 5 12 -18 17
16 Mjondalen 21 2 9 10 -9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Tromso
1–0 K. Haugen
34′
Half-time 1–0
Martin Ellingsen 🟨
57′
Sivert Mannsverk 🟨
63′
R. Zekhnini 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
66′
67′
🔁 D. Berntsen
↦ S. Opsahl
67′
🔁 A. Jenssen
↦ C. Psyché
67′
🔁 Z. Ondrášek
↦ R. Espejord
2–0 O. Brynhildsen
79′
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
80′
80′
🔁 I. Amundsen
↦ C. Øyvann
80′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ A. Mikkelsen
3–0 M. Bjørnbak
E. Breivik
83′
E. Hussain 🔁
↦ M. Ellingsen
88′
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
21 M. Linnes D
28 K. Haugen D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
5 S. Sinyan D
23 E. Andersen M
11 M. Ellingsen M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
25 E. Breivik M
27 S. Mannsverk M
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (8)
17 R. Zekhnini
14 E. Knudtzon
16 E. Hussain
15 M. Grødem
8 F. Sjølstad
3 B. Risa
20 D. Fofana
12 A. Craninx

Coach: E. Moe

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
16 T. Totland M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
21 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
14 A. Mikkelsen F
9 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
17 D. Berntsen
5 A. Jenssen
13 Z. Ondrášek
6 I. Amundsen
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
12 S. Thomas
2 A. Arnarson

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.