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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

St. Gilloise

S U S S S

4–2

Full-time

Seraing United

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Seraing United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

75%

70%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

21 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 4. · Seraing United 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	11	6	2	3	+9	20
2	Eupen	11	6	2	3	+8	20
3	Antwerp	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+13	19
5	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+12	18
6	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Kortrijk	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Oostende	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Standard	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	St Truiden	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Mechelen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
12	Seraing United	10	4	0	6	-4	12
13	Seraing	11	4	0	7	-6	12
14	Charleroi	8	2	5	1	+5	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	1	6	3	-8	9
16	Waregem	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Gent	8	2	2	4	+2	8
18	Cercle Brugge	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Beerschot VA	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Club Brugge	6	3	3	0	+6	12
5	Mechelen	5	4	0	1	+5	12
6	Kortrijk	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+11	10
8	Seraing	5	3	0	2	+4	9
9	Seraing United	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Gent	3	2	1	0	+6	7
11	Eupen	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	+2	5
15	Standard	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	St Truiden	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Waregem	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Cercle Brugge	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Beerschot VA	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eupen	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Standard	6	4	0	2	-2	12
3	St Truiden	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Oostende	6	3	1	2	-1	10
5	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	St. Gilloise	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Cercle Brugge	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Kortrijk	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Waregem	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Charleroi	4	1	3	0	+3	6
13	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	3	2	-6	3
15	Seraing United	5	1	0	4	-8	3
16	Seraing	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Beerschot VA	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Gent	5	0	1	4	-4	1
19	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.