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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Heracles
U U T T U
0–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 14. · Nijmegen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
7 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Twente 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Nijmegen
Sinan Bakış 🟨
27′
Sinan Bakış 🟨
41′
Sinan Bakış 🟥
41′
41′
🟨 Iván Márquez
Half-time 0–0
D. Burgzorg 🔁
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
46′
I. Azzaoui 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
46′
50′
A. Akman 0–1
S. El Karouani
71′
🔁 O. Romeny
↦ A. Akman
Luca De La Torre 🟨
76′
Janis Blaswich 🟨
77′
Noah Fadiga 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 E. Tavşan
↦ J. Bruijn
80′
🔁 J. Vet
↦ L. Schöne
M. Amissi 🔁
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
81′
Mats Knoester 🟨
86′
91′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ M. Duelund
92′
🟨 Jonathan Okita
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
23 N. Fadiga D
12 R. Roosken D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs D
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
7 B. Başacıkoğlu M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (11)
37 D. Burgzorg
18 I. Azzaoui
30 M. Amissi
22 M. Leš
4 S. Sonnenberg
8 E. Sierra
28 R. Jalving
31 R. Ağca
26 K. Bucker
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
17 A. Szőke

Coach: F. Wormuth

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Branderhorst G
4 Iván Márquez D
26 C. Odenthal D
16 S. El Karouani D
28 B. van Rooij D
20 L. Schöne M
6 J. Bruijn M
14 M. Duelund M
71 D. Proper M
10 J. Okita M
9 A. Akman F
Bench (11)
17 O. Romeny
7 E. Tavşan
15 J. Vet
2 I. Bronkhorst
27 D. Vuković
23 T. Beekman
22 J. van der Sluijs
5 Rodrigo Guth
70 K. Bukusu
11 M. Mattsson
31 R. Roefs

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,97
B ✓
4,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.