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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Freiburg

S U U S S

1–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 4. · RB Leipzig 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+17	16
2	Leverkusen	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Dortmund	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Freiburg	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Wolfsburg	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	FC Koln	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Hoffenheim	8	3	2	3	+6	11
9	RB Leipzig	7	3	1	3	+8	10
10	Mainz	7	3	1	3	+2	10
11	M'gladbach	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Stuttgart	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Ein Frankfurt	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Hertha	7	2	0	5	-12	6
15	Augsburg	7	1	2	4	-10	5
16	Bielefeld	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Bochum	7	1	1	5	-12	4
18	Greuther Furth	7	0	1	6	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Hoffenheim	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Freiburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	+3	6
13	Bochum	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Bielefeld	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Wolfsburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-2	5
6	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+1	4
7	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Dortmund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	M'gladbach	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-11	3
12	Augsburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-4	2
14	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
15	RB Leipzig	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	0	4	-10	0
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.