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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Bristol City
S U T S S
0–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
42%
58%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

26% Possession 74%
5 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
5 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 6. · Bournemouth 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Bournemouth 12 7 5 0 +10 26
3 Coventry 12 8 1 3 +7 25
4 Fulham 12 7 2 3 +13 23
5 Stoke 11 6 3 2 +4 21
6 Bristol City 12 5 4 3 +2 19
7 Reading 12 6 1 5 +0 19
8 QPR 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Luton 11 4 4 3 +5 16
10 Blackburn 11 4 4 3 +5 16
11 Huddersfield 9 5 1 3 +4 16
12 Sheffield United 12 4 3 5 +2 15
13 Middlesbrough 12 4 3 5 +0 15
14 Millwall 11 3 6 2 +0 15
15 Blackpool 11 4 3 4 -3 15
16 Preston 12 3 5 4 -2 14
17 Derby 12 3 5 4 -2 14
18 Cardiff 12 3 3 6 -7 12
19 Birmingham 13 3 3 7 -9 12
20 Swansea 11 2 5 4 -5 11
21 Hull 11 2 3 6 -7 9
22 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 -2 8
23 Barnsley 11 1 5 5 -7 8
24 Peterborough 11 2 2 7 -11 8
25 Peterboro 12 2 2 8 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Bournemouth
N. Wells 🔁
↦ J. Williams
13′
21′
J. Lowe 0–1
J. Stacey
40′
🟨 Gary Cahill
Half-time 0–2
46′
J. Zemura 0–2
R. Christie
J. Dasilva 🔁
↦ C. ODowda
46′
64′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ J. Lowe
T. Bakinson 🔁
↦ C. Pring
66′
68′
🟨 Lloyd Kelly
81′
🔁 J. Stanislas
↦ P. Billing
88′
🔁 M. Rogers
↦ R. Christie
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-4-2
1 D. Bentley G
17 N. Baker D
22 T. Kalas D
16 C. Pring D
10 A. King M
6 M. James M
11 C. O'Dowda M
8 J. Williams M
9 C. Martin F
14 A. Weimann F
19 G. Tanner D
Bench (7)
21 N. Wells
3 J. Dasilva
15 T. Bakinson
45 K. Palmer
12 M. O’Leary
2 D. Simpson
36 A. Scott

Coach: N. Pearson

Bournemouth

4-1-4-1
42 M. Travers G
24 G. Cahill D
17 J. Stacey D
5 L. Kelly D
33 J. Zemura D
10 R. Christie M
29 P. Billing M
26 G. Kilkenny M
18 J. Lowe M
9 D. Solanke F
32 J. Anthony M
Bench (7)
8 J. Lerma
19 J. Stanislas
27 M. Rogers
1 Ø. Nyland
20 L. Davis
11 E. Marcondes
6 C. Mepham

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,20
U
3,50
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.