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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Heracles
U U T U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Go Ahead Eagles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 12 9 2 1 +21 29
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 PSV Eindhoven 12 7 4 1 +14 25
4 Heerenveen 11 6 3 2 +11 21
5 Twente 12 5 4 3 +4 19
6 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 5 1 +6 17
7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 +1 16
8 Vitesse 12 4 3 5 +1 15
9 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Den Haag 12 4 2 6 -6 14
11 Zwolle 12 3 4 5 -9 13
12 Heracles 12 2 6 4 -4 12
13 Nijmegen 12 2 6 4 -7 12
14 Go Ahead Eagles 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Excelsior 12 3 1 8 -9 10
16 Willem II 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Roda 12 1 6 5 -11 9
18 Groningen 11 1 4 6 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
11′
🟨 Sander Duits
17′
J. Antonia 0–1
J. Groenbast
Lerin Duarte 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 L. de Kogel
↦ J. Antonia
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
66′
1–1 S. Armenteros
V. Vermeij
68′
82′
🔁 K. Teijsse
↦ N. Nieveld
2–1 S. Armenteros
B. Darri
84′
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ B. Kuwas
87′
87′
🔁 S. Hendriks
↦ S. Duits
J. Navrátil 🔁
↦ B. Darri
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
27 J. Hoogma D
8 L. Duarte M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
21 R. Gosens M
9 S. Armenteros F
7 B. Darri F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (9)
19 V. Vermeij
20 P. van Ooijen
15 J. Navrátil
11 T. Kada
12 W. Droste
22 D. van Mieghem
25 R. Fij
28 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
35 R. Achenteh M
23 N. Nieveld D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
8 J. Suk M
11 R. Wolters F
77 J. Antonia F
14 D. Maatsen M
Bench (6)
9 L. de Kogel
5 K. Teijsse
19 S. Hendriks
13 E. Cummins
22 H. Ojamaa
27 T. Dekker

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.