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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
For Sittard
T T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Cambuur
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,8
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
14%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
71%
88%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
63%
Average goals
3,3
4,6
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
2,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Cambuur 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +30 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +8 18
3 Utrecht 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Willem II 8 5 1 2 +2 16
6 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 -7 13
9 Cambuur 8 4 0 4 -5 12
10 Nijmegen 8 3 2 3 -5 11
11 Heracles 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 1 5 -7 10
13 Waalwijk 9 1 4 4 -3 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 2 0 4 +0 6
15 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 -9 6
17 For Sittard 7 1 2 4 -9 5
18 Zwolle 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Cambuur
32′
🟨 Jamie Jacobs
Half-time 0–0
Mickael Tirpan 🟨
53′
56′
🔁 T. Kiss
↦ M. Breij
George Cox 🟨
64′
Zian Flemming 🟨
68′
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
73′
B. Sambou 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
73′
77′
🔁 R. Uldriķis
↦ T. Boere
N. Lonwijk 🔁
↦ M. Tirpan
79′
83′
🔁 M. Paulissen
↦ J. Jacobs
1–0 G. Cox
T. Tekie
86′
94′
ℹ️ Mitchell Paulissen
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-4-2
1 Y. van Osch G
12 Ivo Pinto D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan D
35 G. Cox D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Tekie M
6 D. Duarte M
11 E. Hansson M
8 Z. Flemming F
Bench (12)
77 T. Noslin
45 B. Sambou
18 N. Lonwijk
28 R. Johansson
21 Y. Çeltik
29 R. Musaba
48 S. Hogervorst
32 F. Dornebusch
24 S. Baghdadi
19 A. Ferati
39 T. Lake
30 R. van Kouwen

Coach: S. Ultee

Cambuur

4-1-4-1
1 S. Stevens G
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
4 E. Schouten D
5 D. Schmidt D
18 D. Sambissa D
20 R. Maulun M
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
14 M. Breij M
9 T. Boere F
7 I. Kallon M
Bench (12)
21 T. Kiss
28 R. Uldriķis
10 M. Paulissen
31 B. Minnema
12 P. Bos
23 M. Gullit
19 S. Hendriks
2 J. ter Heide
17 N. Doodeman
33 J. van der Meer
30 F. Krastev
15 M. Tol

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,55
B
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.