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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
FC Emmen
S S S T T
3–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 22%
16%
28%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match FC Emmen 16. · Heerenveen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Heerenveen
1–0 S. Peña
21′
27′
🟥 Lasse Schöne
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ I. Dresevic
Caner Cavlan ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
52′
🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke
2–0 S. Peña
53′
N. Laursen 🔁
↦ H. Ben Moussa
73′
K. Veendorp 🔁
↦ L. Adžić
73′
76′
🟨 Siem de Jong
79′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ H. Veerman
79′
🔁 R. Hajal
↦ T. Halilović
79′
🔁 R. Kongolo
↦ J. Veerman
3–0 N. Laursen
S. Peña
82′
M. Kolar 🔁
↦ J. Vlak
84′
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ K. Frei
84′
88′
B. Nygren 3–1
90′
🟥 Syb van Ottele
R. de Vos 🔁
↦ S. Peña
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
28 M. Verrips G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
4 N. Bakker D
23 G. Bijl D
21 H. Ben Moussa M
10 S. Peña M
20 J. Vlak M
8 M. de Leeuw F
31 K. Frei M
77 L. Adžić M
Bench (12)
11 N. Laursen
3 K. Veendorp
9 M. Kolar
17 P. Gladon
32 R. de Vos
35 J. Rhyner
93 S. van der Lei
19 B. Scholte
34 R. van Rhijn
7 S. Tibbling
15 D. La Torre
26 D. Telgenkamp

Coach: D. Lukkien

Heerenveen

3-4-2-1
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg M
25 P. Bochniewicz D
14 I. Dresevic D
3 J. van Hecke D
43 L. Schöne M
44 T. Halilović F
20 J. Veerman M
42 S. van Ottele M
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen F
Bench (10)
6 S. de Jong
8 B. Nygren
17 R. Hajal
21 R. Kongolo
22 A. Harush
15 S. Dewaele
2 S. Floranus
23 J. Bekkema
41 R. Kaib
18 H. Akujobi

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,71
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.