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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

PSV Eindhoven

U S S U S

4–1

Full-time

Cambuur

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Cambuur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

25 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Cambuur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	2	2	0	+2	6
2	Ajax	1	1	0	+5	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	+4	3
4	Utrecht	1	1	0	+4	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	+2	3
6	For Sittard	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Vitesse	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Waalwijk	2	1	1	+0	3
10	Nijmegen	2	1	1	-3	3
11	Twente	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Cambuur	1	0	1	-1	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Heracles	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	2	-3	0
17	Willem II	1	0	1	-4	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Utrecht	1	1	0	+4	3
3	Nijmegen	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	+1	3
5	For Sittard	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Waalwijk	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Cambuur	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Zwolle	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Heracles	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Willem II	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	+4	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Vitesse	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Waalwijk	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Twente	1	0	1	-1	0
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Zwolle	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	-4	0
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.