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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Ajax

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Twente

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

73%

18%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

82%

59%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,9

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Twente 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	23	20	1	2	+37	61
2	Ajax	22	16	3	3	+43	51
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	14	5	4	+21	47
4	Feyenoord	22	11	6	5	+23	39
5	Zwolle	23	11	6	6	+1	39
6	Utrecht	21	9	7	5	-1	34
7	Heerenveen	22	8	7	7	-2	31
8	Vitesse	19	8	6	5	+10	30
9	VVV Venlo	23	7	9	7	-5	30
10	Den Haag	20	8	4	8	-3	28
11	Heracles	23	7	6	10	-16	27
12	Excelsior	22	7	4	11	-7	25
13	Groningen	22	5	7	10	-5	22
14	Willem II	23	5	5	13	-14	20
15	NAC Breda	22	5	4	13	-14	19
16	Roda	23	4	5	14	-24	17
17	Twente	22	4	4	14	-16	16
18	Sparta Rotterdam	23	3	5	15	-28	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+22	27
3	Heracles	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	2	3	+9	23
5	Zwolle	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Feyenoord	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Utrecht	11	5	5	1	+2	20
8	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Heerenveen	11	4	3	4	-5	15
11	NAC Breda	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Willem II	12	3	3	6	-1	12
13	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Roda	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Twente	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	2	7	-12	11
17	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+2	10
18	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	1	2	+15	28
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+21	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+12	18
6	VVV Venlo	12	4	6	2	-1	18
7	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Zwolle	12	4	4	4	-7	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
13	NAC Breda	11	1	3	7	-8	6
14	Groningen	11	1	2	8	-10	5
15	Twente	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Roda	12	1	2	9	-19	5
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Heracles	11	0	3	8	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.