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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Vitesse
S T U T S
0–3
Full-time
Willem II
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 8. · Willem II 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Groningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Waalwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Twente 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Willem II
18′
K. Wriedt 0–1
G. Sağlam
Dominik Oroz 🟨
24′
28′
🟨 Ulrik Jenssen
36′
C. Nunnely 0–2
G. Sağlam
Half-time 0–2
E. Dasa 🔁
↦ R. Yapi
46′
N. Frederiksen 🔁
↦ T. Domgjoni
46′
Y. Gboho 🔁
↦ A. Oroz
46′
Matúš Bero 🟨
55′
Oussama Tannane 🟨
65′
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
70′
🔁 M. Svensson
↦ G. Sağlam
70′
🔁 E. Kabangu
↦ K. Wriedt
71′
🟨 Elton Kabangu
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
73′
76′
🔁 N. Michelis
↦ U. Jenssen
Maximilian Wittek 🟨
78′
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ S. Tronstad
80′
81′
🔁 R. Zuijderwijk
↦ D. Saddiki
81′
🔁 W. Spieringhs
↦ C. Nunnely
82′
W. Spieringhs 0–3
M. Svensson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
1 M. Schubert G
18 T. Hájek D
32 M. Wittek M
16 A. Oroz D
27 R. Yapi M
39 E. Cornelisse D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
22 T. Domgjoni M
14 O. Tannane F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (11)
2 E. Dasa
11 N. Frederiksen
20 Y. Gboho
10 R. Bazoer
29 T. Buitink
48 N. van Haveren
40 D. Huisman
24 J. Houwen
9 O. Darfalou
19 J. von Moos
36 P. Vroegh

Coach: T. Letsch

Willem II

4-3-3
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
15 M. Svensson
14 E. Kabangu
25 N. Michelis
16 R. Zuijderwijk
22 W. Spieringhs
28 V. Schippers
19 J. Yeboah
24 C. van den Berg
12 D. Ryan
26 J. Brondeel

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U
4,02
B ✓
5,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.