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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Mechelen
T S T T T
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,5
This season — Pro League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 6 4 0 2 +4 12
2 Oostende 6 4 0 2 +0 12
3 Eupen 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Standard 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 Club Brugge 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Charleroi 5 1 4 0 +3 7
9 Seraing 5 2 0 3 -4 6
10 Seraing United 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Cercle Brugge 6 1 2 3 -2 5
12 Waregem 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
14 St Truiden 5 1 1 3 -4 4
15 Mechelen 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 0 3 2 -7 3
17 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Beerschot VA 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St. Gilloise
1′
D. Vanzeir 0–1
D. Undav
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟨
8′
1–1 H. Cuypers
13′
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ Vinicius Souza
28′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Shved
R. Schoofs
55′
63′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ G. François
Maryan Shved 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 M. Sorinola
↦ S. Lynen
69′
🟨 Dante Vanzeir
3–1 N. Storm
77′
78′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ L. Lapoussin
78′
🔁 L. Amani
↦ J. Bager
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
81′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ M. Shved
81′
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
87′
91′
🟨 Matthew Sorinola
93′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
16 R. Schoofs M
33 Vinicius Souza M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
17 S. Oum Gouet
9 F. Druijf
7 G. Hairemans
30 J. Vanlerberghe
20 G. Engvall
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: W. Vrancken

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
19 G. François M
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
20 S. Lynen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
2 B. Nieuwkoop
7 M. Sorinola
90 F. Avenatti
8 L. Amani
21 L. Pirard
25 D. Marcq
16 C. Burgess

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,45
U
3,51
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.