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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

Ajax

S S S U S

4–0

Full-time

FC Emmen

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 49%

80%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,7

3,1

Scored

3,0

1,1

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · FC Emmen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	24	4	2	+68	76
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	19	7	4	+35	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	31	19	7	5	+28	64
4	Vitesse	31	18	6	7	+19	60
5	Feyenoord	29	15	8	6	+28	53
6	Utrecht	29	13	9	7	+11	48
7	Groningen	29	13	6	10	+1	45
8	Heracles	31	12	6	13	-6	42
9	For Sittard	31	12	4	15	-6	40
10	Twente	31	9	10	12	-2	37
11	Heerenveen	30	9	10	11	-3	37
12	Sparta Rotterdam	29	10	6	13	-4	36
13	Zwolle	31	8	11	12	-7	35
14	Waalwijk	31	6	8	17	-20	26
15	Willem II	31	6	7	18	-30	25
16	FC Emmen	30	5	9	16	-26	24
17	VVV Venlo	31	6	4	21	-42	22
18	Den Haag	31	3	10	18	-44	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	2	1	+24	38
3	Vitesse	16	11	4	1	+16	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+15	32
5	Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	+22	28
6	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+13	27
7	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+5	26
8	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+5	22
10	Zwolle	15	5	6	4	+1	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	For Sittard	16	5	2	9	-6	17
13	Willem II	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	Waalwijk	16	4	4	8	-5	16
15	Twente	15	3	5	7	-3	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	4	8	-13	13
17	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-22	12
18	Den Haag	16	1	6	9	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+35	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	5	2	+13	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Feyenoord	16	7	4	5	+6	25
6	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+3	23
7	Twente	16	6	5	5	+1	23
8	For Sittard	15	7	2	6	+0	23
9	Groningen	14	6	1	7	-4	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-8	15
12	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-19	15
13	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-8	14
14	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-13	11
15	Waalwijk	15	2	4	9	-15	10
16	VVV Venlo	16	3	1	12	-20	10
17	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
18	Willem II	16	1	5	10	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.