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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Twente
S T T T T
3–3
Full-time
Ajax
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
1,3
4,2
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+3,3
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
23%
69%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
69%
85%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
3,2
3,9
Scored
1,2
3,1
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%
19 Shots 26
9 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 7
9 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 16. · Ajax 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 +26 36
2 Ajax 13 9 1 3 +29 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 9 1 3 +7 28
4 Zwolle 14 7 5 2 +7 26
5 Feyenoord 13 6 4 3 +9 22
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Vitesse 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 Heerenveen 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Heracles 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Den Haag 12 5 2 5 -1 17
11 Excelsior 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 VVV Venlo 13 3 6 4 -4 15
13 Groningen 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 5 6 -11 11
15 Willem II 13 3 2 8 -12 11
16 Twente 13 3 0 10 -9 9
17 NAC Breda 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Roda 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Ajax
Stefan Thesker 🟨
32′
33′
L. Schöne 0–1
Jos Hooiveld 🟨
36′
37′
L. Schöne 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 D. Zeefuik
↦ M. Wöber
48′
🟨 David Neres
1–2 S. Thesker
D. Holla
48′
Tom Boere 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Frenkie de Jong
2–2 S. Thesker
63′
Cristian Cuevas 🟨
66′
J. van der Lely 🔁
↦ D. Holla
74′
79′
J. Kluivert 2–3
David Neres
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
80′
82′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ K. Dolberg
87′
🟨 Joël Veltman
3–3 T. Boere
M. Liendl
89′
M. Kvasina 🔁
↦ T. Boere
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Twente

5-3-2
26 J. Brondeel G
4 J. Hooiveld D
5 S. Thesker D
15 C. Cuevas D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
21 D. Holla M
18 M. Liendl M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (7)
28 J. van der Lely
27 L. Slagveer
17 M. Kvasina
6 D. Trajkovski
11 A. Laukart
14 R. Jensen
16 J. Drommel

Coach: G. Verbeek

Ajax

3-4-3
1 A. Onana G
3 J. Veltman D
4 M. de Ligt D
5 M. Wöber D
20 L. Schöne M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
21 F. de Jong M
25 K. Dolberg F
45 J. Kluivert F
7 David Neres F
Bench (7)
42 D. Zeefuik
23 S. de Jong
9 K. Huntelaar
15 C. Eiting
18 D. Johnsen
22 B. van Leer
37 D. Dankerlui

Coach: M. Keizer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.