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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Southampton

S S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Man United

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 16. · Man United 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Man City	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Watford	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Man City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Watford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.